What you receive
Two services and the record that ties them to your decisions.
Service
Continuous Risk Anticipation
The questions that could move your earnings, kept under review between meetings and connected to your exposures.
You receive the operating update at the cadence you choose, and the Board brief before each meeting or decision.
Service
Strategic Foresight Challenge
One decision challenged before you commit: how suppliers, competitors, regulators and markets could move.
You receive a wargame readout with the options, the counter-case and the signposts that would change the answer.
With both
The decision record
Every decision dated, with an owner, the assumptions it rests on and the date it will be reviewed.
You receive a record your next Board, and your auditors, can read.
A brief for every level
- Operating teams: What moved, what it touches, who acts.
- Executive management: The exposure in earnings, the options, the counter-case.
- Board: The decision for review, three figures, the question to ask.
Strategic Foresight Challenge
Think the unthinkable. Then put your strategy to the test.
A focused Board or CXO engagement to explore unexpected futures, rehearse responses and decide what would change your course.
- 01
Frame the decision
Before the session, agree the strategic choice, assumptions, financial baseline and information gaps.
- 02
Challenge the future
Compare a central case with supported alternatives. Explore how competitors, suppliers, customers or governments might respond.
- 03
Stress the choices
Use appropriate what-if, counterfactual and simulation methods within the agreed scope. Examine costs, feasibility and reversibility.
- 04
Commit to watching
Record response options, owners, unresolved questions and signposts that return to continuous anticipation.
Who participates
A Board or executive sponsor, the accountable strategy or risk owner, Finance, relevant operating leaders and agreed specialist perspectives. Preparation matters as much as the retreat.
What leaves the room
A concise decision brief, challenged assumptions, competing mechanisms, financial sensitivities, response options and monitoring commitments. Preserve useful dissent as well as the agreed next steps.
Proof
The sample Board brief, on the page. Read it before you talk to anyone.
Sample Board brief · October 2026
Should we prepare an alternative supply option?
A prolonged disruption to a critical shipping route could reduce sales and earnings. Management asks the Board to approve validating an alternative supply option, and its cost, before committing funds.
- Revenue exposed
- US$10m
- Earnings exposed
- US$4m
- Residual, after the response
- US$2.5m
Earnings bridge · US$ million · 12 months| Measure | Plan | Stress | With response |
|---|
| Revenue | 100 | 90 | 92.5 |
|---|
| Associated operating costs | 80 | 74 | 74 |
|---|
| Response cost | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|---|
| Earnings | 20 | 16 | 17.5 |
|---|
| Shortfall against plan | 0 | 4 | 2.5 |
|---|
Sample on an assumed plan, with no client data. The review threshold is US$3m: the stress exceeds it; the response brings it below.
The Casebook
Hormuz, month eight: who hedged the reopening?
A Board brief in context: the question, the counter-case, two tables on one basis and the decision record.
Working with us
You can stop after any step.
- 01Week 0
A 30-minute scoping call
We agree the one decision or question that matters and how you judge it today.
- 02Weeks 1–4
A four-week capped pilot on one decision
Measured against your current process, with the cost agreed before it starts.
- 03Then
Recurring coverage at the cadence you choose
Monthly, quarterly or before each Board, extended to the questions you add.
Scoped with you from the pilot’s evidence. Work is quoted in platform credits and agreed before it runs.
Talk to us
Tell us the decision in front of you. We will propose a 30-minute scoping call.